TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 3:05 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional basketball teams, Hermine Nantes Basket and Antibes Sharks, compete in a match scheduled for September 26, 2026. The outcome hinges on which team secures a victory in this head-to-head contest. If the game is delayed but starts within 48 hours, the result still counts.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional LNB Elite 2 basketball game between Hermine Nantes Basket and Antibes Sharks, scheduled for September 26, 2026, at 1:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different user bases and information sources, leading to potentially different assessments of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, and the current volume of $1,063 suggests a moderate level of trader engagement.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the French basketball game between Hermine Nantes Basket and Antibes Sharks, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market’s settlement details following the game’s completion, and all winning contracts will be paid out accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Game-day performance, such as early scoring runs or key player matchups, will also likely cause fluctuations. Unexpected announcements related to the teams or the league could also impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.