TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 4:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Hermakivskyi Illia and Marushchak Vitalii S. in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for September 15 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hermakivskyi Illia' if Hermakivskyi Illia wins against Marushchak Vitalii S.. This market will resolve to 'Marushchak Vitalii S.' if Marushchak Vitalii S. wins against Hermakivskyi Illia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Hermakivskyi Illia and Marushchak Vitalii S. in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for September 15 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hermakivskyi Illia' if Hermakivskyi Illia wins against Marushchak Vitalii S.. This market will resolve to 'Marushchak Vitalii S.' if Marushchak Vitalii S. wins against Hermakivskyi Illia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a certain outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket, potentially causing the odds to diverge. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly disagrees with the sportsbook's initial assessment.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hermakivskyi vs. Marushchak match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The exact payout amount will depend on the trading activity leading up to Sep 22, 2026.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding the condition of either athlete, Hermakivskyi Illia or Marushchak Vitalii S., such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly impact the odds. Public announcements about strategy or pre-match analysis from credible sources could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected upsets in related matches or tournaments might also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the athletes’ chances of winning has the potential to move this market.