TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda
Volume:
$173,207
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three related prediction markets on the professional Eredivisie soccer match between Heracles Almelo and NAC Breda scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets assess the final outcome (win/loss/draw) based on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and postponement handling differs between platforms. Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation logic, while Polymarket applies asymmetric resolution (draw Yes, wins No) if the match is canceled without a make-up game.Hero Tip:
Monitor Eredivisie.nl for official postponement or cancellation notices. If canceled, Polymarket draw backers win while win backers lose; Kalshi's resolution path is unclear. Request clarification from Kalshi before settlement if cancellation occurs. Postponements are safer—both platforms hold markets open until the rescheduled match completes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate Yes/No markets covering all possible outcomes (Tie, Heracles win, Breda win). Each resolves to Yes if that specific outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided; logic is outcome-dependent only.
- Polymarket: Three separate Yes/No markets (Draw, Heracles win, Breda win). Draw market resolves Yes if game ends in draw OR is canceled with no make-up. Win markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up. Postponed games remain open until completion. All markets reference only 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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