TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda
kalshi
polymarket

Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda

Volume:
$173,207

Breda

 - Kalshi

Breda - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 1:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Breda

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$10,891
$28,897
N/A
N/A
$17,576
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$20,429
$28,648
N/A
N/A
$17,308
Settled
No
kalshi

Heracles Almelo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$7,547
$11,740
N/A
N/A
$9,889
Settled
No
polymarket

NAC Breda

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,656
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Heracles Almelo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,970
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,296
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three related prediction markets on the professional Eredivisie soccer match between Heracles Almelo and NAC Breda scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets assess the final outcome (win/loss/draw) based on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation and postponement handling differs between platforms. Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation logic, while Polymarket applies asymmetric resolution (draw Yes, wins No) if the match is canceled without a make-up game.Hero tip: Monitor Eredivisie.nl for official postponement or cancellation notices. If canceled, Polymarket draw backers win while win backers lose; Kalshi's resolution path is unclear. Request clarification from Kalshi before settlement if cancellation occurs. Postponements are safer—both platforms hold markets open until the rescheduled match completes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three separate Yes/No markets covering all possible outcomes (Tie, Heracles win, Breda win). Each resolves to Yes if that specific outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided; logic is outcome-dependent only.
  • Polymarket: Three separate Yes/No markets (Draw, Heracles win, Breda win). Draw market resolves Yes if game ends in draw OR is canceled with no make-up. Win markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up. Postponed games remain open until completion. All markets reference only 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.