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406,065

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2,692

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5

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Heracles Almelo vs. Jong AZ Alkmaar
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Heracles Almelo vs. Jong AZ Alkmaar?

Volume:
$124,297

Heracles Almelo

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 4:33 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Heracles Almelo

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,815
N/A
N/A
$15,451
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Heracles Almelo

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,267
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jong AZ Alkmaar

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,204
N/A
N/A
$36,279
Settled
No
polymarket

Jong AZ Alkmaar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$808
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,279
N/A
N/A
$23,862
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Heracles Almelo vs. Jong AZ Alkmaar)

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,924
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Heracles Almelo and Jong AZ Alkmaar scheduled for September 11, 2026. Markets exist for Heracles Almelo winning, Jong AZ Alkmaar winning, and the game ending in a draw, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Resolution logic differs regarding the outcome of a completely canceled game with no reschedule.Hero tip: Consider the probability of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket's 'No' resolution on cancellation contrasts with Kalshi's 'Yes' for a tie, potentially creating a trading edge.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This applies to all three win/draw markets.
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market resolves to Yes for a tie. The win markets resolve to 'No'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Netherlands Eerste Divisie game, scheduled for Friday, September 11, 2026 between Heracles Almelo and Jong AZ Alkmaar.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Heracles Almelo vs Jong AZ Alkmaar professional Eerste Divisie soccer match scheduled for September 11, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome resolves if the specified team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the match concludes in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for postseason or playoff implications.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Heracles vs. Jong AZ match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong probability for one outcome, though opinions differ. Total volume traded across both venues is $124,297, with $113,315 changing hands in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive view of market sentiment and provides a weighted probability of various results, offering a unique perspective beyond traditional analysis of the Heracles vs. Jong AZ match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets reflect the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction market prices being more efficient and potentially more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. The current volume of $124,297 suggests significant interest in this market.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading fees, and market-specific rules. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to variations in how information is interpreted and reflected in prices. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform—currently $124,297 across both—can influence price discovery. These differences highlight the importance of considering multiple sources when evaluating probabilities for the Heracles vs. Jong AZ match.