TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC
Volume:
$162,491
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Henan FC and Yunnan Yukun FC scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the final outcome (win/loss/draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical time windows (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and reference the same official source (Chinese Super League). The three outcome markets (Henan win, Yunnan win, draw) are logically exhaustive and mutually exclusive across both platforms.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Chinese Super League statistics (csl-china.com); credible reporting consensus if official stats not published within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Resolution window: 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Henan FC win, Yunnan Yukun FC win, or draw (tie)
- Official source: Chinese Super League governing body statistics as primary authority
- Fallback: Consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours post-match
- Postponement: Markets remain open until the match is completed
- Cancellation with no makeup: Draw market resolves Yes (Polymarket explicit rule); Kalshi's three binary outcomes all resolve Yes (covering all possibilities)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played and completed.
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi's three binary markets (Henan win, Yunnan win, tie) all resolve Yes by their inclusive logic.
- Official Stats Delay: If Chinese Super League does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
- Extra Time or Penalties: Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded; only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time count for resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official statistics or credible consensus must be established within 2 hours post-match for immediate settlement; markets remain open if delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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