TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Henan FC and Qingdao Hainiu FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Henan FC" if Henan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Qingdao Hainiu FC" if Qingdao Hainiu FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Henan FC and Qingdao Hainiu FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Henan FC" if Henan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Qingdao Hainiu FC" if Qingdao Hainiu FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and manage risk through margin, while prediction markets derive prices from continuous trader participation and real-money incentives. This market may show different implied probabilities than a sportsbook's opening line, particularly as new information emerges or as one side attracts heavier trading volume. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's consensus differs from professional oddsmakers' assessments.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism where buying and selling pressure directly moves the odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome trades as a separate contract, and the current price reflects the collective belief of all active traders at that moment. As participants buy shares of Qingdao Hainiu FC to score first or Henan FC to score first, the price adjusts in real time. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to new developments and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed when credible public sources report which team scored the opening goal. This market settles to whichever outcome occurred during the match, with no ambiguity if both teams have scored by the final whistle—only the identity of the first scorer matters. Resolution typically follows within hours of the match ending.
Team news such as injuries to key strikers or defensive changes can shift odds significantly, as can lineup announcements closer to kickoff. Early match momentum—aggressive attacking play, defensive vulnerabilities, or early chances—often triggers sharp price moves as traders react to live conditions. Weather, pitch conditions, and referee assignments may also influence how traders assess each team's likelihood of scoring first. Betting syndicate activity and sudden volume spikes can signal informed positioning, prompting broader market repricing before the final whistle.