TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Henan FC and Qingdao Hainiu FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Henan FC and Qingdao Hainiu FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, factoring in commission margins. Prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs in real time, with prices reflecting genuine supply and demand for each outcome. Sportsbooks may move lines based on sharp action or public betting patterns, while prediction markets respond to any new information traders believe is relevant. Neither is inherently more accurate, but comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism, where each exact scoreline outcome has its own contract. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any outcome reflects the probability traders collectively assign to it, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting patterns—traders buy or sell contracts, moving prices up or down. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to changing expectations about the final score.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before kickoff and during the match. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers repricing. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions can also influence trader expectations. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or momentum swings will cause rapid price adjustments as traders update their forecasts. Betting syndicates and sharp traders may also move the market if they detect value, signaling information the broader crowd has not yet priced in.