TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC?

Volume:
$314,951

Henan FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 7:35 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Henan FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$103,692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Henan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,787
N/A
N/A
$15,831
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Qingdao Hainiu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101,944
N/A
N/A
$77,319
Settled
No
polymarket

Qingdao Hainiu FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,764
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,539
N/A
N/A
$36,358
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Henan FC and Qingdao Hainiu FC scheduled for July 17, 2026. Three prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: Henan win, draw, and Qingdao win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution logic diverges between the Polymarket draw market (resolves YES on cancellation) and all other markets across both platforms (resolve NO on cancellation). This creates an asymmetric payout structure in a cancellation scenario.Hero tip: If you believe cancellation risk is material, the Polymarket draw market offers positive expected value on that tail event, while win markets price it as a loss. Consider the league's historical cancellation rate and current scheduling stability when sizing positions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket (Draw Market): Resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".' All other Polymarket markets (Henan win, Qingdao win) resolve NO on cancellation.
  • Kalshi (All Markets): All three Kalshi markets (Henan win, Qingdao win, Tie) implicitly resolve NO on cancellation by requiring a specific outcome to occur. No explicit cancellation clause provided, but structure mirrors Polymarket win markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Friday, July 17, 2026 between Henan FC and Qingdao Hainiu FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Henan vs Qingdao Hainiu professional Chinese Super League soccer game originally scheduled for July 17, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The event resolves to one of three outcomes: a Henan victory, a Qingdao Hainiu victory, or a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market activity across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu match. Traders on both platforms are pricing the outcome of this fixture, with combined volume reflecting real-time consensus on which team is favored to win. The cross-platform view lets you compare how different prediction venues are valuing the same event, giving you a broader sense of market sentiment than any single platform alone. Both venues update their odds continuously as new information emerges.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many independent traders competing for returns. This market reflects what traders collectively think will happen, without a built-in house edge. Prediction market prices often move faster in response to breaking news or injury reports, and they can diverge meaningfully from sportsbook lines, especially early in a trading window. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause price gaps even when tracking the same event. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different market designs or user bases with varying risk appetites. Arbitrage traders work to close these spreads, but temporary divergences are normal and can persist if one venue has deeper liquidity or if traders on one platform hold stronger convictions. Monitoring both prices helps you spot value and understand where the broader market consensus truly lies.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can shift trader sentiment sharply. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any coaching changes will influence how traders reassess win probability. Weather conditions or venue factors closer to match day may also trigger repricing. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market can move odds quickly, as can social media momentum or expert commentary. Monitoring team news and broader league developments will help you anticipate where this market is headed.