TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 11:41 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Henan FC and Dalian Yingbo FC, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Henan FC" if Henan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Dalian Yingbo FC" if Dalian Yingbo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Henan FC and Dalian Yingbo FC, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Henan FC" if Henan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Dalian Yingbo FC" if Dalian Yingbo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on oddsmakers' models and risk management, while prediction markets price outcomes through continuous trading by many participants. For this market, prediction market prices may move faster in response to team news, injuries, or lineup changes, whereas sportsbooks adjust less frequently. Both aim to reflect true probability, but prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper pricing due to their crowd-driven nature and real-time adjustment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's probability. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and others fall. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader conviction throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores the first goal during regulation play. Once the event is complete and confirmed through official match reporting, the market settles automatically based on the verified result, and traders' positions are paid out according to their holdings in the winning outcome.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before it closes. Team news such as injuries to key strikers or defensive players, confirmed starting lineups, and recent form or head-to-head records often trigger significant repricing. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and any last-minute tactical announcements can also influence trader positioning. Additionally, if either team experiences unexpected roster changes or coaching decisions in the days leading up to kickoff, market participants typically react quickly, adjusting their bets to reflect the new information.