TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 11:37 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Henan FC and Dalian Yingbo FC, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC match originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Henan FC and Dalian Yingbo FC, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC match originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For exact-score markets, sportsbooks typically offer limited outcome options with wider margins, whereas this market allows traders to price every possible scoreline. Prediction markets can be more efficient at pricing niche outcomes because traders profit directly from accuracy rather than volume. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate sharper professional input, so comparing both sources provides a fuller picture of consensus expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds for each exact-score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific scorelines, and the cumulative trading activity determines the implied probability of each result. The top outcome currently reflects strong market conviction, visible in its high implied probability. As the match date nears, prices adjust based on team news, betting flows, and updated expectations, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time, with no adjustments for extra time or penalty shootouts unless the competition format specifies otherwise. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, after official confirmation from the league or governing body. Traders should monitor the match schedule and any format changes announced by the competition organizer to ensure they understand the exact resolution criteria.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form trends for both sides. Head-to-head history and tactical adjustments can shift expectations around likely scorelines. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and tournament stage context all influence how traders price different outcomes. Media coverage and expert predictions may also sway sentiment, particularly if respected analysts highlight undervalued or overvalued scorelines. As match day approaches, late-breaking developments—such as surprise absences or tactical surprises in warm-up—can trigger sharp repricing across all exact-score outcomes.