TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Yu-Hsiou Hsu in the Heilbronn, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Yu-Hsiou Hsu. This market will resolve to 'Yu-Hsiou Hsu' if Yu-Hsiou Hsu advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket for this Heilbronn match may differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker pricing models. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance liability; prediction markets aggregate beliefs of individual participants. Comparing Polymarket odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd expects Trungelliti or Hsu to outperform conventional expectations. Discrepancies often signal where informed traders see value relative to established betting lines.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Heilbronn match is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into implied probabilities for each outcome. Shares trading at higher prices reflect stronger market confidence in that result. Liquidity depth and order flow determine how sharply prices move with each trade. The current market price represents the consensus probability among active Polymarket participants, updated in real time as new trades execute.
The Heilbronn: Marco Trungelliti vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the professional tennis match between these two players at the Heilbronn tournament. The market will settle based on which player wins the match according to the governing tennis authority and tournament records. Traders should monitor official tournament schedules and any potential postponements or cancellations that could affect the resolution date.
Key catalysts for this market include recent form and ranking changes for both Trungelliti and Hsu, head-to-head historical records, court surface conditions at Heilbronn, injury announcements, and player statements before the match. Tournament draws and seeding information may also shift trader expectations. Weather forecasts closer to the event date could influence odds if conditions favor one player's style. Social media activity, expert commentary, and betting action on traditional sportsbooks often precede prediction market movements.