TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market evaluates the victory margin for either team in the HEBC Hamburg vs Dortmund soccer match. Specific thresholds determine if HEBC Hamburg or Dortmund achieves a win by a margin exceeding the stated values.
The market resolves to Yes if HEBC Hamburg wins by more than 2.5 goals or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Dortmund wins by more than 1.5 goals or by more than 2.5 goals during regulation time of the DFB Pokal match on Sep 1, 2026. Regulation time comprises 90 minutes plus any stoppage time allocated by the referee, and explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootouts. The outcome is determined exclusively by the goal difference between the two teams within this designated period. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official association with the governing league, and all trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent different point-spread outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders for each possible result. As new analysis or betting patterns emerge, these prices can shift quickly, showing how the Kalshi community expects the match to unfold.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential after 90 minutes of regulation time — without extra time or penalties — determines the paying contract. The process relies on widely available sports data sources to ensure transparency.
Injuries to key players, coaching strategies, or weather conditions could shift expectations and move this market. Major pre-match analysis, betting trends on traditional platforms, and any shift in team form will also influence trader sentiment. As the match nears, any last-minute news about lineup changes or tactical approaches may cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.