TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 85
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 28, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 28, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether the film “Heart of the Beast” will achieve a Tomatometer score of at least 50% on Rotten Tomatoes. Currently, the aggregated probability across Kalshi and Polymarket indicates a 100.0% chance of this outcome. Resolution will be based on the “All Critics” score displayed on Rotten Tomatoes, as determined by the criteria outlined in the resolution source. The market is scheduled to resolve on September 28, 2026, so keep an eye on the film’s critical reception as that date approaches.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Kalshi offers a range of thresholds, while Polymarket focuses on specific milestones, creating a divergence in market structure and resolution criteria.Hero tip: Carefully examine the specific threshold each market is targeting and assess the probability of the film achieving that score independently. Don't assume a 'Yes' on one market implies a 'Yes' on another.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Polymarket markets ask if the Tomatometer score will be *at least* a specific value (50%, 60%, 70%, 80%). Question: Will "Heart of the Beast" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
- Kalshi: Kalshi markets ask if the Tomatometer score will be *above* a specific value (45%, 50%, 55%, etc.). If Heart of the Beast has a Tomatometer score of above 45 on Sep 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Heart of the Beast is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on September 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether the film Heart of the Beast achieves specific Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score thresholds by September 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold, ranging from above 45 to above 90. For any given market to resolve as 'Yes,' the film's Tomatometer score must exceed the specified threshold. For example, a score of 46 would satisfy the 'Above 45' market but not the 'Above 50' market. All markets are determined on the Monday following the film's wide release. It is important to note that neither these markets nor the associated products are endorsed by Rotten Tomatoes; references to the platform are purely descriptive and do not imply any affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Early reviews from film festivals or pre-release screenings will be key catalysts. Positive buzz from critics and audiences could drive up the price of favorable outcomes, while negative reactions could lower it. Any news regarding the film’s distribution, marketing campaign, or potential controversies could also influence trading activity. The release of the official trailer and any associated critical commentary will likely cause price fluctuations in this market as traders incorporate new information into their predictions.