TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 12:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Scottish Premiership soccer match between Heart of Midlothian and Dundee FC. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the match exceeds that threshold. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
The markets collectively assess whether the total goals scored in the Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee FC Scottish Premiership match scheduled for September 6, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. Each individual market resolves to 'Yes' if the cumulative goals surpass its respective threshold; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. These markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others, though they are inherently linked by the same underlying match result. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see the implied probabilities from this market diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes—in this case, whether over or under a certain number of goals will be scored. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe over 3.5 goals are likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result—the total number of goals scored in the Heart of Midlothian versus Dundee FC match—will be used to determine whether the over or under contract wins. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on the final score and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Heart of Midlothian or Dundee FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift expectations. Even team lineup announcements closer to kickoff could cause price adjustments as traders react to the potential impact on scoring opportunities. Any significant pre-match analysis or expert opinions could also influence the market.