TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 12:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two Scottish Premiership soccer teams in a head-to-head match. It focuses on the margin of victory for either team, determining outcomes based on specific goal differences. The event provides a way to assess potential dominance in the game without needing an outright win.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for both teams in a single professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for September 6, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. Four distinct outcome conditions are defined: Heart of Midlothian winning by more than 2.5 goals, Heart of Midlothian winning by more than 1.5 goals, Dundee FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Dundee FC winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each market independently assesses its specific threshold, meaning a single match result could potentially satisfy multiple market conditions simultaneously. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the anticipated outcome of the Scottish Premiership match and the probabilities assigned to various results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe Dundee FC will win by more than 2.5 goals, for example, the price of that contract will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the real-time probability of each outcome as perceived by the market participants, providing a forward-looking assessment of the match’s potential result.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Heart of Midlothian versus Dundee FC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual goal difference achieved in the game. The platform will then determine which contracts payout based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges defined by the contracts offered. Traders will receive payouts according to the terms of the contracts they hold at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 6, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Heart of Midlothian or Dundee FC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role, as traders react to any information that alters their assessment of the match’s likely outcome.