TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 5:24 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Heart of Midlothian FC and SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Heart of Midlothian FC" if Heart of Midlothian FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz" if SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Heart of Midlothian FC and SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Heart of Midlothian FC" if Heart of Midlothian FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz" if SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are priced by traders who buy and sell shares based on their own beliefs about the outcome. This market aggregates the collective view of thousands of independent traders rather than a single operator's margin. Over time, prediction markets have proven competitive with or more accurate than traditional sportsbook pricing, especially for niche outcomes like first-scorer bets where sportsbook liquidity may be thin.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell outcome shares, and the price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market. As more traders buy a particular first-scorer outcome, that share price rises and others fall, creating a self-correcting mechanism. The current odds you see represent the marginal trader's valuation at that moment, updated continuously as new trades execute.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal scorer is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources such as official match records or major sports data providers. Once the identity of the first scorer is established, this market will settle automatically to the corresponding outcome share. Traders holding the correct outcome will receive their payout based on the final odds at which they entered their position.
Team news and injury updates can significantly shift odds, especially if a key attacking player is ruled out or returns to fitness. Starting lineups announced before kickoff often trigger sharp repricing as traders adjust for actual squad composition. Betting syndicates and sharp traders may move the market on new information about player form, head-to-head records, or tactical adjustments. Weather conditions, venue factors, and late-breaking team announcements can also influence first-scorer probabilities. Monitor official team channels and credible sports news for developments that could reshape trader positioning in this market.