This event group covers a Scottish Premiership soccer match between Heart of Midlothian FC and Motherwell FC scheduled for April 11, 2026. Markets on Polymarket ask about individual outcomes (Hearts win, Motherwell win, draw), while Kalshi offers a single combined market covering all three possible results. All markets resolve based on the 90-minute regulation result plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms apply identical resolution logic: official SPFL match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent postponement and cancellation handling.
Primary resolution logic:
Scottish Professional Football League (SPFL) official statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Resolution is based solely on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket resolves Motherwell win and Hearts win markets to No and the draw market to Yes; Kalshi resolves the combined market to Yes (tie outcome)
Primary resolution source is official SPFL statistics; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and a result is determined.
Cancellation with no makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes while win markets resolve No; Kalshi resolves to Yes (tie outcome).
Resolution source delay: If official SPFL statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may proceed using consensus from credible sports reporting sources.
Scope of play: Only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts; extra time and penalties are explicitly excluded from all markets.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official statistics are published by the SPFL, or within 2 hours post-match if credible reporting consensus is required. Markets remain open if the match is postponed until rescheduled completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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