TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Falkirk FC
polymarket
kalshi

Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Falkirk FC

Volume:
$62,164

Heart of Midlothian FC

 - Polymarket

Heart of Midlothian FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 21, 2026

Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-02-21?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Heart of Midlothian FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,460
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Heart of Midlothian

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,871
0%
0%
$10,879
N/A
polymarket

Falkirk FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,713
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Falkirk

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,410
0%
0%
$2,265
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Falkirk FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,057
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,653
0%
0%
$3,162
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Scottish Premiership soccer match between Heart of Midlothian FC and Falkirk FC scheduled for February 21, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome: whether Heart of Midlothian wins, whether Falkirk wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation handling. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while its win markets resolve No. Kalshi omits explicit cancellation language, creating ambiguity about whether markets remain open or follow an unstated default.Hero tip: If the match is canceled with no rescheduled date, Polymarket guarantees the draw market resolves Yes and both win markets resolve No. Kalshi's behavior is undefined. Hedge or clarify Kalshi's cancellation policy before the match. If you hold a draw position on Polymarket and a win position on Kalshi, a cancellation creates a potential mismatch in payoff logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Draw market: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to the Yes.' Win markets (both Heart and Falkirk): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to No.' All three markets remain open if postponed and resolve only after the match is completed.
  • Kalshi: Three markets (Tie, Falkirk Win, Heart Win) with no explicit cancellation clause. Each resolves Yes if its outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Kalshi does not specify behavior if the match is canceled or postponed, leaving settlement logic ambiguous.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.