TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Falkirk FC
Volume:
$62,164
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Scottish Premiership soccer match between Heart of Midlothian FC and Falkirk FC scheduled for February 21, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome: whether Heart of Midlothian wins, whether Falkirk wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation handling. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while its win markets resolve No. Kalshi omits explicit cancellation language, creating ambiguity about whether markets remain open or follow an unstated default.Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled with no rescheduled date, Polymarket guarantees the draw market resolves Yes and both win markets resolve No. Kalshi's behavior is undefined. Hedge or clarify Kalshi's cancellation policy before the match. If you hold a draw position on Polymarket and a win position on Kalshi, a cancellation creates a potential mismatch in payoff logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Draw market: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to the Yes.' Win markets (both Heart and Falkirk): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to No.' All three markets remain open if postponed and resolve only after the match is completed.
- Kalshi: Three markets (Tie, Falkirk Win, Heart Win) with no explicit cancellation clause. Each resolves Yes if its outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Kalshi does not specify behavior if the match is canceled or postponed, leaving settlement logic ambiguous.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.