TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 6:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between HB and Motherwell FC, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "HB" if HB are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Motherwell FC" if Motherwell FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between HB and Motherwell FC, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "HB" if HB are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Motherwell FC" if Motherwell FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed odds set by oddsmakers. In this market, participants continuously adjust their positions based on team news, injury reports, and tactical analysis, creating a dynamic price discovery mechanism. Sportsbooks typically adjust less frequently and build in margin. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value or where public perception may lag behind emerging information about either team's readiness.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader bets into continuous odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Participants buy or sell shares representing each outcome, and the price adjusts based on the ratio of shares held in the pool. Higher trading volume typically tightens the spread between bid and ask prices, improving accuracy. The mechanism incentivizes traders to correct mispricings, making the odds a real-time reflection of collective expectation about which team will find the net first.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal. If neither team scores, or if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window, the market may be voided or settled according to the platform's standard procedures. Traders should monitor official team announcements and match scheduling for any changes that could affect timing.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to key strikers or defensive changes, recent form and goal-scoring trends, and head-to-head historical patterns. Lineup announcements closer to kickoff often trigger sharp price moves as traders react to confirmed starting elevens. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and tactical adjustments revealed in pre-match press conferences can also shift expectations. Late-breaking developments like suspensions or unexpected absences may cause volatility in the final hours before the match begins.