TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 4:51 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between HB and Motherwell FC, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the HB vs. Motherwell FC match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between HB and Motherwell FC, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the HB vs. Motherwell FC match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets are priced by traders who profit from accurate forecasts. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many independent participants, which can sometimes identify value that traditional sportsbooks miss. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs, though each has distinct advantages: sportsbooks offer fixed odds and immediate settlement, while prediction markets provide dynamic pricing that adjusts as new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time probabilities for each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing different scorelines, and the price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. The more capital flowing into a particular exact score, the higher its probability rises. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures that the odds always reflect the latest information and trading activity, making it transparent and responsive to changing expectations about the match.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match between HB and Motherwell FC concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals scored by each team during regulation time. No ambiguity exists around what counts as a goal or which scoreline is correct, since official match records are publicly available and widely reported. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to see their positions settled quickly.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—can significantly shift odds for specific scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence trader expectations about likely outcomes. Weather conditions and pitch quality on match day may also affect scoring patterns. As kickoff approaches, confirmed team sheets typically trigger repricing, since traders gain certainty about who will actually play. During the match itself, early goals or red cards can cause sharp moves in this market, as the probability of certain exact scores becomes more or less likely in real time.