TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 11:15 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the winner of the professional AFL matchup between Hawthorn Hawks and St Kilda Saints. On Kalshi, Hawthorn Hawks to win is priced at 99.0%, while St Kilda Saints to win stands at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the game scheduled for May 28, 2026. Watch for team news and injury updates leading up to the May 28 fixture, as roster changes could shift the competitive balance between these two sides.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks build in juice and manage liability across many bets, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from thousands of participants trading directly. For the Hawthorn Hawks vs St Kilda Saints match, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where sharp traders see value. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient at pricing close contests, though sportsbooks may offer better odds on heavily favored outcomes due to volume and competition.
The Hawthorn Hawks vs St Kilda Saints market resolves at May 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final result of the match between the two teams. Once the game concludes and the winner is confirmed, the market settles based on which team earned the victory. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive the full contract value, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automatic and final once the official result is recorded.
Key catalysts for the Hawthorn Hawks vs St Kilda Saints market include team news such as player injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before the match. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-ground advantage can shift trader positioning significantly. Weather conditions on match day and late-breaking tactical adjustments may also influence odds. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting syndicate activity often trigger price movements as new information reaches the market. Traders monitor all pre-game developments closely, so any roster updates or coaching decisions will likely move probabilities on Kalshi.