TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group tracks which team will score the first goal in the upcoming match between Hawick Royal Albert United FC and Penicuik Athletic FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026. The resolution depends on whether Hawick Royal Albert United FC, Penicuik Athletic FC, or neither team scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming match between Hawick Royal Albert United FC and Penicuik Athletic FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hawick Royal Albert United FC" if Hawick Royal Albert United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Penicuik Athletic FC" if Penicuik Athletic FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The market resolves based on which team records the first goal during the entire Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If the first goal is an own goal, the market resolves based on the team awarded the goal by the official record. If no team scores during the entire match, the market resolves to the No Goal outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity, reflecting a decentralized view of probabilities. Sportsbook odds often incorporate additional factors such as historical performance and public betting trends. While prediction markets may show sharper or more volatile shifts, sportsbooks typically smooth outcomes to manage risk. Comparing both can reveal differences in how each model weighs team form and other variables.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, traders set prices independently, leading to variations based on user base and available liquidity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, differing volumes — $561 across all platforms versus $148 in the last day — can amplify price swings. Each venue may also attract distinct participant groups, causing temporary misalignments until information flows balance the markets.
Injuries to key attacking players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, or recent form updates could shift this market. Traders will also react to any last-minute lineup announcements or tactical changes announced by coaches. As the match nears, any surprise substitutions or strategic adjustments may cause rapid price adjustments on both Polymarket and Kalshi.