TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 10:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the outcome of the fourth quarter in an upcoming college football game, specifically analyzing whether one team will outscore the other by a certain margin during that final period.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the fourth quarter of the Hawai'i vs Stanford college football game scheduled for August 29, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market specifies a different point differential threshold for resolution, with outcomes ranging from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to larger gaps such as over 10.5 points in favor of either team. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official final result of that quarter. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will instead resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing disruptions.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges solely on the official game stats for the fourth quarter — specifically whether Stanford meets or exceeds the spread set for that period. No internal platform mechanisms determine the result; it’s anchored to the real-world performance recorded during the game.
Injuries, weather updates, or key player performances leading up to the game could shift expectations and move this market. Coach announcements, changes in starting lineups, or even early-game momentum on game day may cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment. Since Kalshi lets participants react in real time, any credible news that affects the perceived likelihood of a fourth-quarter spread outcome can cause noticeable price swings.