TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and UC Santa Barbara Gauchos scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Hawaii win and UC Santa Barbara win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi until corrected. The market cannot distinguish outcomes. Polymarket is the reliable venue with proper binary resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clear binary resolution: Hawaii win resolves to Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, UC Santa Barbara win resolves to UC Santa Barbara Gauchos. Handles postponement by keeping market open, and cancellation with no makeup by resolving 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Contradictory logic: Both Hawaii win and UC Santa Barbara win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes, making settlement impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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