TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Long Beach State Beach (W)
Volume:
$117,919
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and Long Beach State Beach scheduled for March 7, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic states both possible game outcomes (Long Beach St. wins OR Hawaii wins) resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible for a single game. This creates a data integrity failure that makes the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the market logic is corrected. The platform likely intended to ask whether the game is played (Yes) or canceled (No), not who wins. Polymarket's binary outcome structure is clear and tradeable. Request clarification from Kalshi before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market. Resolves to "Hawaii Rainbow Warriors" if Hawaii wins, "Long Beach State Beach" if Long Beach wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic: both 'Long Beach St. wins' AND 'Hawaii wins' are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility. Key quote: 'If Long Beach St. wins...resolves to Yes. If Hawaii wins...resolves to Yes.' No cancellation or postponement provisions stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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