TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. CSUN Matadors
Volume:
$1,481,090
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between the University of Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and California State University, Northridge (CSUN) Matadors scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline (winner), point spread outcomes at -2.5 and -3.5, and total points over/under 162.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both Hawaii win and CSUN win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically coherent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market due to the logical impossibility in its resolution criteria. Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and totals are safe and follow standard college basketball settlement conventions. All outcomes depend on the final score including overtime.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Hawaii wins, resolve Yes. If CSUN wins, resolve Yes. This creates a logical contradiction where both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Hawai'i wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cal State Northridge wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Hawaii Rainbow Warriors if Hawaii wins, or CSUN Matadors if CSUN wins - mutually exclusive outcomes. Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (-2.5 requires 3+ point win; -3.5 requires 4+ point win). Total resolves Over at 163+ combined points, Under below 163. All include 50-50 cancellation clause and overtime inclusion. Quote: 'If the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors win, the market will resolve to Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. If the CSUN Matadors win, the market will resolve to CSUN Matadors.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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