TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that determines the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Harvard vs New Hampshire college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. If Harvard wins by exceeding the specified point margin defined in each market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, if New Hampshire wins by more than the thresholds defined in markets 12 and 13, those respective markets resolve to Yes. For games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd perceives information differently than the bookmakers. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than static sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Harvard-New Hampshire game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those who misjudge the outcome risk losing their investment. The market price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time indication of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Harvard versus New Hampshire game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The market will then pay out to contract holders based on whether the actual spread falls within the range of their purchased contract. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the Harvard-New Hampshire spread market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game day could also play a role, as weather conditions can affect scoring and game strategy. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also contribute to price movements, though this market is ultimately driven by traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts based on their own assessments.