TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:05 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the USL Championship game, scheduled for September 12 at 7:00 PM ET.
More markets for the USL Championship game, scheduled for September 12 at 7:00 PM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the prediction market odds will likely move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges, as traders incorporate diverse perspectives into their assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Hartford vs Tampa Bay match. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hartford Athletic vs. Tampa Bay Rowdies match, as determined by official league sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Hartford Athletic or Tampa Bay Rowdies could shift the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day, or even pre-game tactical announcements from the coaches, might trigger price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team's chances of winning will likely be reflected in the market.