TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 9:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between Hartford Athletic and Miami in their upcoming USL Championship soccer match. Each market evaluates different margins of victory for either team, focusing on the difference in goals scored over the course of the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential between Hartford Athletic and Miami in their professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for August 15, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team achieves a victory by the specified goal margin detailed in each respective market: Hartford Athletic winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Miami winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. All outcomes are strictly determined by the regular time result, with no consideration given to extended play or shootouts. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytical models and historical data, prediction markets reflect crowd-sourced forecasts and can shift more rapidly with new information. Traders may see tighter or wider spreads depending on recent performance, injuries, or other game-specific developments.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be compared against the spread set for the match, and the market will settle based on whether Hartford Athletic or Miami meets the conditions defined in the contract. No additional analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the official result.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent form for either team can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. Weather conditions on game day, disciplinary actions, or even early in-game scoring may cause rapid adjustments in odds as the match approaches. Any news that impacts the perceived likelihood of covering the spread will influence pricing on Kalshi.