TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Harry Styles' album Harry's House will accumulate more than 41,022,443 streams during the May 22–28 tracking week, as measured by Luminate. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate streaming data for that specific week. Watch for the final stream count release on or around June 1, 2026, when Luminate publishes the complete tracking week results.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and can differ meaningfully from traditional analyst forecasts or music industry projections. While analysts may rely on historical streaming patterns, chart performance, and promotional activity, prediction markets incorporate live information and trader expertise. The current market probability offers a dynamic, crowd-sourced alternative to static forecasts. Comparing Kalshi odds to music streaming analysts' estimates can reveal where the market sees upside or downside risk relative to conventional expectations.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. The outcome is determined by official Luminate streaming data for Harry's House during the May 22–28 week. The market will settle based on whether the album's total streams during that period exceed or fall short of the specified threshold. Luminate is the industry standard for streaming measurement and provides the authoritative data source for this event.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the May 22–28 tracking window closes. Major playlist additions on Spotify, Apple Music, or other platforms could drive unexpected volume. Chart performance, radio play, or viral social media moments may boost listener engagement. Competing album releases or streaming events could redirect listener attention. Harry Styles' promotional activities, interviews, or tour announcements might influence streaming behavior. Real-time streaming data leaks or industry reports could also trigger trader repositioning as the week progresses and actual performance becomes clearer.