TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 38,955,500
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 38,955,500 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 27, 2026
Closed: Jun 27, 3:43 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether the album Harry's House achieves streaming performance above a specified threshold during the June 19-25 tracking week. Worldwide stream counts are measured by Luminate Data, LLC, with results typically published within 48 hours after the tracking period ends.
Kalshi
If Harry's House has above 38,955,500 Worldwide Streams during the June 19 - June 25, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and continuous price discovery rather than static predictions. Traders in this market incorporate breaking news, social media signals, and industry leaks faster than formal analyst reports update. When major entertainment outlets publish release timelines or label announcements, this market typically reprices within minutes, whereas analyst consensus may lag by days or weeks. This dynamic adjustment makes prediction markets a complementary signal to traditional forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-matching, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing limit orders on yes and no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the last executed trade and the current bid-ask spread; as new information arrives or trading volume shifts, the odds update in real time. Kalshi's transparent order book lets you see depth at each price level, helping you decide whether to take liquidity or place a resting order.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public reporting on whether the album became available on streaming platforms during the specified week. Once the event window closes and the facts are verified, the market settles to either yes or no based on what actually occurred. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts include official announcements from the artist's label or management, social media posts hinting at imminent release, chart-tracking data showing pre-release momentum, and statements from streaming platforms. Industry insiders or music journalists may leak credible timelines that shift odds sharply. Chart performance from competing releases, label strategy changes, or unexpected delays also influence trader positioning. Real-time monitoring of entertainment news and the artist's official channels is essential for staying ahead of price moves in this market.
