TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 141M
- Kalshi
Above 141M - Kalshi
1W
News
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Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 4, 2026
Closed: Jul 4, 2:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks Harry Styles' worldwide streaming performance during the week of June 26 - July 02, 2026. Streaming data is collected from Luminate Data, LLC and published approximately 48 hours after the tracking period ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Harry Styles' total worldwide streams during the June 26 - July 02, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data, LLC. Each outcome corresponds to a specific streaming threshold, with resolution occurring if streams exceed the designated level. Data publication occurs approximately 48 hours after the tracking period concludes. Luminate Data, LLC serves as a neutral provider of market metrics and does not endorse, verify, or participate in prediction market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-money bets from many participants rather than relying on a small group of experts. In this market, traders are directly wagering on streaming outcomes, which creates incentives for accurate pricing. Analyst forecasts may lag behind market prices when new data emerges, or they may reflect different methodologies and time horizons. Comparing the odds here to published industry estimates can reveal where the crowd sees value or risk that mainstream analysis may have missed.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares tied to each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As new information surfaces—such as chart performance, tour announcements, or streaming platform data—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market continuously incorporates fresh signals and represents the real-time consensus view of participants.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The specific streaming metrics and time period are defined by the market terms, and resolution occurs after the relevant data has been finalized and cross-checked against authoritative sources. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as traders update their expectations based on emerging information and real-world developments.
Several catalysts could shift prices in this market. New music releases or surprise announcements from Harry Styles would likely impact streaming expectations. Chart performance, playlist placements on major platforms, and social media trends can all influence weekly streaming volume. Tour dates, festival appearances, or media coverage may drive listener engagement. Additionally, broader streaming industry trends, platform algorithm changes, or competitor activity could affect the overall streaming landscape. Traders monitor these signals closely and adjust positions accordingly as resolution approaches.
