TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 10:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between two teams competing in the Tweede Divisie league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The event accounts for potential game disruptions, ensuring fair resolution if the match is significantly altered or canceled.
The event resolves based on the result of the Hardenberg vs Treffers Groesbeek professional Tweede Divisie soccer game scheduled for September 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Hardenberg win, Treffers Groesbeek win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often show sharper adjustments based on real-time trading activity and can diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant dynamics and information efficiency. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader public betting trends and historical data, this market incorporates immediate trader reactions to new developments. The resulting prices may therefore appear more volatile or differently positioned than typical sportsbook offerings, especially as Kalshi traders react to emerging news or shifting expectations ahead of Sep 5, 2026.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official match outcome, which is then checked against widely accepted news and sports data sources to close the market and pay out participants accordingly.
Several key signals could shift this market before it resolves around Sep 5, 2026. Performance metrics such as recent match results, player injuries, or lineup changes may heavily influence trader sentiment. Additionally, broader factors like weather conditions, referee announcements, or even shifts in team morale could cause fluctuations. Media coverage and expert analysis leading up to the event often drive short-term price movements as traders adjust their expectations based on new information. Any last-minute updates regarding team readiness or strategic adjustments may also impact the odds on Kalshi as the resolution date approaches.