TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball
Volume:
$408,256
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball game between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Paris Basketball scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are structured to resolve based on the match outcome, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Hapoel Tel Aviv win OR Paris Basketball win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a discriminating instrument.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the resolution logic is corrected. The market as documented cannot distinguish between a winning outcome and a losing outcome. Polymarket offers clear binary resolution and should be preferred for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary head-to-head structure. Resolves to team name of winner. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: If Hapoel Tel Aviv win, resolves to Hapoel Tel Aviv. If Paris Basketball win, resolves to Paris Basketball.
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic. Both outcomes stated to resolve to Yes. Quote: If Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins...resolves to Yes. If Paris Basketball wins...resolves to Yes. This creates logical impossibility for binary discrimination.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.