This event group covers a Euroleague basketball game between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Olimpia Milano scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 2:05 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this professional basketball matchup.
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Olimpia Milano win OR Hapoel Tel Aviv win) resolve to Yes, making the No outcome impossible and rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform issues a clarification or amendment. The market as written cannot be settled fairly. Polymarket's binary win/loss structure is logically sound and should be the reference market.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary outcome: Hapoel Tel Aviv win resolves to Hapoel Tel Aviv, Olimpia Milano win resolves to Olimpia Milano. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Source: Euroleague Basketball official site.
Kalshi: Logical contradiction: Both Olimpia Milano win AND Hapoel Tel Aviv win resolve to Yes. No condition resolves to No, making the market incoherent and unresolvable as drafted.
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