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Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. FC Bayern Munchen
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. FC Bayern Munchen?

Volume:
$309,814

Bayern Munich

 - Kalshi

Bayern Munich - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 24, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 2:06 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bayern Munich

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$125,003
N/A
N/A
$60,297
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$144,866
N/A
N/A
$58,048
Settled
No
polymarket

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. FC Bayern Munchen

View
0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a Euroleague basketball game between Hapoel Tel Aviv and FC Bayern Munchen. The markets resolve to either Hapoel Tel Aviv winning or FC Bayern Munchen winning the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The two platforms refer to different dates for the same game, creating a significant discrepancy and potential SKU risk.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market unless you are specifically interested in a game over a year from now. Focus on Polymarket for the current game.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the game scheduled for September 24, 2024 at 1:00PM ET. A win by either team resolves the market.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the game scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT. A win by either team resolves the market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for September 24 at 1:00PM ET: If the Hapoel Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to "Hapoel Tel Aviv". If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to "FC Bayern Munchen". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes for the respective team if that team wins the designated EuroLeague basketball game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours lead to fair price resolution for all markets. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and risk assessment, while this market relies on individuals trading based on their own research and insights. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It's possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing odds across both types of platforms, though transaction fees and market liquidity should be considered.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Bayern Munchen vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv match can arise from several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading fees and market structures also differ, influencing how participants behave. Additionally, the liquidity available on each platform impacts price discovery; lower liquidity can lead to greater price volatility. These factors combine to create independent price signals, even for the same underlying event.