TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 4:54 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Israel Premier League game, scheduled for September 14 at 1:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Israel Premier League game, scheduled for September 14 at 1:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. Keep in mind that prediction markets allow for continuous price discovery as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This creates a dynamic pricing system that attempts to accurately reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Israeli Premier League match between Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona FC and Maccabi Haifa FC. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or referee assignments might also play a role. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, reflected in news articles or social media discussions, can influence trader behavior. Major upsets in other related matches or broader league standings could also indirectly affect the market as traders reassess their predictions.