TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 2:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between two teams competing in the Liga Leumit league. The result will be determined based on the performance of the teams after the full regulation time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: one team winning, the other team winning, or the match ending in a tie.
The event covers a professional Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for September 17, 2026, between Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Kfar Shelem. There are three possible outcomes: Hapoel Afula wins, Hapoel Kfar Shelem wins, or the match ends in a tie—all determined after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the price on Kalshi closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own predictions, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price rises, and vice versa, creating a real-time indication of market sentiment regarding the Hapoel Afula vs Kfar Shelem match.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hapoel Afula vs Kfar Shelem match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The market’s final price will reflect the ultimate result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 17, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams might also shift expectations. Public announcements about player availability, tactical changes, or team morale could all serve as catalysts. Furthermore, significant shifts in betting volume on Kalshi itself can indicate new information or a change in market perception regarding the Hapoel Afula vs Kfar Shelem match.