TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether T1 or Hanwha Life Esports will win the third map of their League of Legends match. Currently, Kalshi gives T1 a 52.0% probability of winning map 3, while Hanwha Life Esports is at 50.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of map 3 in the LCK 2026 match between Hanwha Life Esports and T1, as reported by the official match results. Keep a close watch on the start of the match itself on September 12, 2026, as the opening moments will likely set the tone for how map 3 unfolds.
If Hanwha Life Esports wins map 3 in the LCK 2026: Hanwha Life Esports vs. T1 League of Legends match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If T1 wins map 3 in the LCK 2026: Hanwha Life Esports vs. T1 League of Legends match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take a position, driving the prediction market odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. Over time, the prediction market often proves more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and perspectives. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome wins Map 3, and conversely, the amount a seller receives for offering that contract.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 3 in the Hanwha Life Esports versus T1 match. The winning team, as declared by the League of Legends tournament organizers, will determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to view the final result and settlement details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the match and official confirmation of the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Hanwha Life Esports or T1 could significantly shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during earlier matches in the series could also impact expectations for Map 3. Unexpected announcements about player health or unforeseen circumstances affecting the competition could also cause volatility. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning will likely move this market.