TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 8:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two baseball teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether either team secures a win by a specific number of runs, reflecting predictive insights into the competitive balance of the game.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios based on the run differential between the Hanwha Eagles and the SSG Landers in their Korea KBO game scheduled for September 10, 2026. Each scenario defines a specific winning condition: SSG Landers winning by over 2.5 runs, SSG Landers winning by over 1.5 runs, Hanwha Eagles winning by over 1.5 runs, or Hanwha Eagles winning by over 2.5 runs. The market resolves to 'Yes' if the actual game result matches any of these conditions. All markets are independent of official league affiliations, and trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the game’s outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the SSG Landers will cover the spread, the price will move in that direction, potentially offering a different value than what you’d find at a sportsbook. It’s a good practice to compare both to identify potential discrepancies and informed betting opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the SSG Landers will win by over 1.5 runs. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Hanwha Eagles versus SSG Landers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will determine whether the SSG Landers won by more than 1.5 runs, settling the contracts accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The official game results will be the basis for determining the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Hanwha Eagles or the SSG Landers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in the starting pitchers, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even late-breaking news about team morale could all shift trader sentiment. Additionally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations, as can overall shifts in public perception of the teams’ chances of winning the game by the specified spread.