TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 10:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how much one team outperforms the other, rather than just who wins. The result depends entirely on the final score difference from the scheduled match.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets for the Hanwha Eagles vs Samsung Lions Korea KBO game originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Each market resolves based on whether a specific team wins by a designated run margin: Samsung Lions by over 2.5 runs, Samsung Lions by over 1.5 runs, Hanwha Eagles by over 1.5 runs, or Hanwha Eagles by over 2.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game context and secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners. Resolution depends solely on the official game result as recorded by the Korea Baseball Organization.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique betting structure and participant dynamics. While sportsbooks may set a fixed spread and odds based on broader public betting, prediction markets let traders adjust prices in real time. This can lead to tighter spreads or sharper shifts based on trader insights, news, and performance updates. Monitoring both can provide a broader view of expected outcomes, but each reflects distinct participant behavior and information flow.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics — specifically whether Samsung’s victory margin exceeds 2.5 runs — and will be settled based on reliable sports data sources after the match concludes.
Key signals that could shift prices in this market include major player injuries, pitching changes, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, and recent head-to-head performance. Any announcement about lineup adjustments or changes to starting pitchers can also influence trader sentiment. As the game approaches, updated betting trends, expert analysis, and even day-of-game developments may cause rapid price swings, so monitoring news and lineups is essential for tracking market movement.