TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. Participants assess whether one team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The result depends entirely on the final score of the game.
The event evaluates different run-differential thresholds for both teams in a single baseball match. Four separate conditions determine resolution: the Lotte Giants winning by over 2.5 or 1.5 runs, and the Hanwha Eagles winning by over 1.5 or 2.5 runs. Whichever condition is met first based on the final score resolves the corresponding market to Yes; if none are met, all resolve to No. The markets operate independently of official league affiliations, using standard run-differential logic for resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, although the odds will not always align perfectly due to differing methodologies and participant bases.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Hanwha Eagles versus Lotte Giants game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether the Eagles win by more than 2.5 runs. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress and any potential factors that could influence the final result leading up to the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Hanwha Eagles or the Lotte Giants would likely cause movement. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, as could updates on team performance in recent games. Unexpected announcements related to the teams or the league, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to changes in the market price before Sep 27, 2026.