TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:15 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both the Hanwha Eagles and Kia Tigers in their college baseball game. Participants predict whether the combined runs will exceed certain thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the game's final score.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both teams in the Hanwha Eagles vs. Kia Tigers college baseball game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific run total threshold—over 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. If the combined score meets or exceeds any of these thresholds, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. All markets share the same underlying game and timestamp, ensuring consistency in the evaluated performance.
It’s common to see differences between prediction market prices and traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can sometimes create opportunities for arbitrage, where you can profit by taking opposing positions on both venues. However, remember that prediction markets also have transaction fees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total run outcomes, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market price represents the probability that traders assign to each possible total run count, giving a real-time assessment of the game's expected outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Hanwha Eagles versus Kia Tigers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contract. The market will settle to 100 for the correct total runs outcome, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders should ensure they understand the resolution timing to manage their positions effectively.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Hanwha Eagles or the Kia Tigers could significantly shift expectations. Weather forecasts, particularly if there's a chance of rain that could affect scoring, will also be closely watched. Finally, even late-breaking news about pitching matchups or team strategies could cause traders to adjust their positions, leading to price movements on Kalshi.