TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 9:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between the Hanwha Eagles and the Doosan Bears, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how observers predict the competitive balance between the two teams in a specific matchup. The resolution depends entirely on the final score difference of the game as it was scheduled to occur on a particular date and time.
The event consists of four separate outcome markets all tied to the same baseball game between the Hanwha Eagles and the Doosan Bears scheduled for August 13, 2026, at 6:00 AM EDT. Each market resolves based on whether a specific team wins by a designated run margin—either over 1.5 or over 2.5 runs. If the Doosan Bears win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If the Doosan Bears win by more than 1.5 runs (but not necessarily exceeding 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if the Hanwha Eagles win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Only one of these markets can resolve to Yes, depending on the exact run differential at the end of the game. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique dynamics of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks set their lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders should compare both sources to spot potential value, but keep in mind that this market reflects the collective wisdom of Kalshi participants rather than institutional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through active buying and selling of contracts representing each possible outcome. The current probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with liquidity indicated by volume of $10,891 and recent 24-hour volume of $9,309. As the game approaches, news, player injuries, and weather conditions can shift trader sentiment, causing rapid changes in the implied odds for each side.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics, specifically whether the Hanwha Eagles or Doosan Bears cover the posted run spread. Once the game concludes and the data is publicly available, the market will settle automatically based on those results.
Key events such as starting pitcher announcements, injury updates, weather forecasts, and recent team performance trends could all influence this market. Traders will also watch for any lineup changes or bullpen updates that might affect the teams' abilities to cover the spread. As these signals emerge, especially closer to game time, expect volatility in pricing as new information shifts market expectations on Kalshi.