TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 10:04 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional Korean baseball game takes place where either team may score a run during the first inning of play.
On Kalshi, the Hanwha Eagles vs Doosan Bears: First Inning Run contract is priced between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents a one-percent probability of the outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares based on their belief about whether either team scores in the opening inning. The bid-ask spread reflects liquidity and uncertainty; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and trading volume, while wider spreads suggest lower activity or disagreement among participants. As game time approaches, prices typically converge toward the true probability.
The market resolves at Jun 4, 2026, which corresponds to the conclusion of the first inning of the Hanwha Eagles vs Doosan Bears game. Resolution is determined by the official final score recorded for the first inning only. The outcome will be binary: either at least one run was scored in the first inning, or no runs were scored. Once the first inning ends and the official score is confirmed, the contract settles and traders receive payouts based on the winning outcome.
Several factors can shift odds before the first inning concludes. Starting pitcher announcements or late-inning roster changes may alter expectations for early scoring. Weather conditions, field dimensions, and recent team performance trends influence first-inning run probability. Real-time game events—such as early hits, walks, or defensive plays—will cause sharp price moves as traders react to live action. Injury updates or lineup adjustments announced just before game time can also trigger volatility. Traders monitor these catalysts closely to identify mispricings and adjust positions accordingly.