TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:55 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total number of runs scored by both the Hanshin Tigers and Yomiuri Giants in their college baseball game. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds, offering different levels of scoring intensity to predict.
The markets resolve based on the total runs scored by both the Hanshin Tigers and Yomiuri Giants in their college baseball game scheduled for September 12, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT. Each market corresponds to a different run threshold: over 5.5 runs, over 7.5 runs, over 9.5 runs, and over 11.5 runs. If the combined score meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct level of scoring volume being predicted. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before a significant amount of volume enters the market. Comparing these odds can provide valuable insight into public sentiment and potential value opportunities, though it's important to remember they represent different things.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, whether the total runs scored will be over or under a certain number. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth, indicated by the bid and ask sizes, shows how readily traders are willing to buy or sell at different price points.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Hanshin Tigers versus Yomiuri Giants game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics will be used to determine whether the total runs exceeded or fell short of the market’s specified threshold. The resolution will be based on the official scorekeeping of the game, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or pitching changes for either the Hanshin Tigers or the Yomiuri Giants would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts, particularly if rain is predicted, could also impact expectations regarding scoring. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from baseball experts and any shifts in public perception regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could all contribute to changes in the market price. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market.