TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 8:20 AM EST
Kalshi
In a classic rivalry, the Hanshin Tigers and Yomiuri Giants meet, where momentum swings and stellar individual performances could dictate the winner. The game’s intensity will test both teams’ endurance and tactical acumen.
If the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 2.5 runs in the Hanshin Tigers vs Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 1.5 runs in the Hanshin Tigers vs Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Hanshin Tigers win by more than 1.5 runs in the Hanshin Tigers vs Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Hanshin Tigers win by more than 2.5 runs in the Hanshin Tigers vs Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, the pricing in this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction markets often show sharper adjustments based on real-time trading activity, while sportsbooks incorporate broader factors like public betting trends and commission structures. The current implied probability here can diverge noticeably from sportsbook spreads, particularly as trading volume grows. This difference provides a unique view into how informed participants value the likelihood of outcomes compared to more generalized betting markets.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics, matching the parameters defined in this market. As the game date approaches, any last-minute changes in team lineups or pitchering decisions will not alter the settled criteria — only the final verified score matters for resolution.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or bullpen announcements can all shift trader sentiment in this market. Performance trends from recent matchups, especially late-inning pitching effectiveness, often drive short-term price swings. As the game nears, any change in starting lineups or umpires may also influence volume and pricing, reflecting updated probabilities for how the contest might unfold.