TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Hanshin Tigers vs. Yomiuri Giants
kalshi
polymarket

Hanshin Tigers vs. Yomiuri Giants

Volume:
$21,208

Hanshin Tigers vs. Yomiuri Giants

 - Polymarket

Hanshin Tigers vs. Yomiuri Giants - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 9:54 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Hanshin Tigers vs. Yomiuri Giants

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,751
N/A
N/A
$7,109
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$264
N/A
N/A
$256
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,968
N/A
N/A
$1,968
Settled
No
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$985
N/A
N/A
$985
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an NPB baseball game between the Hanshin Tigers and the Yomiuri Giants scheduled for August 28 at 5:00AM ET. The markets differ in their resolution criteria, with one focusing on the outright winner and the other on run differentials.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets have fundamentally different resolution criteria — one is a binary winner-takes-all market, while the other is a multi-condition differential market.Hero tip: Traders should avoid cross-platform hedging unless they account for the different resolution logic. A Hanshin Tigers win by exactly 2 runs would resolve as 'Hanshin Tigers' on Polymarket but would not trigger any 'Yes' condition on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Hanshin Tigers' if they win, 'Yomiuri Giants' if they win, 50-50 for ties or cancellations: 'If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if any of four run-differential conditions are met, otherwise presumably 'No': 'If the Hanshin Tigers win by more than 2.5 runs... then the market resolves to Yes. If the Hanshin Tigers win by more than 1.5 runs... then the market resolves to Yes. If the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 1.5 runs... then the market resolves to Yes. If the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 2.5 runs... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 28 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the run differential by which either the Hanshin Tigers or Yomiuri Giants win the game scheduled for August 28, 2026. If the Hanshin Tigers win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market settles Yes; if they win by more than 1.5 runs, the second market settles Yes. Conversely, if the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market settles Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market settles Yes. All markets are independent and resolved solely by the final score of the specified game.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect trader sentiment and can adjust faster to new information. For example, if injury reports or weather forecasts shift expectations, prediction markets may move sharply before sportsbooks update their lines. The spread between the two can also be influenced by liquidity differences — prediction markets may show a tighter or wider implied probability depending on trading volume and public interest.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can differ because each platform attracts distinct user bases and has its own liquidity conditions. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might have more retail traders reacting quickly to news, while the other could see slower, more institutional activity. This can create temporary mismatches in implied probabilities, especially when new data — like a star player’s status — hits the wires. The gap usually narrows as more traders participate and information spreads.