TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 5:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Two baseball teams compete in a match where the outcome depends on the margin of victory. Bettors predict whether the winning team will cover specific run differences, adding layers to the game's strategic analysis.
This event covers four distinct outcome markets for the Hanshin Tigers vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars game scheduled for Aug 22, 2026. Each market resolves based on the winning team's run differential against the opponent. The first market resolves to Yes if Yokohama DeNA BayStars win by more than 2.5 runs. The second market resolves to Yes if Yokohama DeNA BayStars win by more than 1.5 runs. The third market resolves to Yes if Hanshin Tigers win by more than 1.5 runs. The fourth market resolves to Yes if Hanshin Tigers win by more than 2.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and secondary disclaimer regarding Kalshi's non-affiliation with the Governing League. Trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view of team performance and public sentiment compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads based on their models, prediction markets allow traders to continuously adjust positions based on new data, potentially creating tighter or more volatile spreads.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the market’s view of which team is favored to cover the spread, and this can shift rapidly with new performance data, injuries, or weather conditions affecting the game.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether Yokohama DeNA BayStars meet the spread requirement, and the market will settle accordingly based on that result.
Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, and recent performance trends can all shift trader sentiment. Any unexpected developments that impact the perceived ability of Yokohama DeNA BayStars to cover the spread may cause rapid price movements in this market as traders adjust their positions.