TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 8:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between two teams. Each market corresponds to a specific run differential threshold that determines the outcome. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game as it reflects how decisively one team defeats the other.
These markets resolve based on the run differential by which either the Yokohama DeNA BayStars or the Hanshin Tigers win the specified Japan NPB game originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 4:45 AM EDT. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the stated run margin—either 2.5 or 1.5 runs—for their respective team as defined in each individual market. All markets share the same underlying event and time, ensuring consistency across outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official game results, and the market settles based on whether the Hanshin Tigers cover the run line against Yokohama DeNA BayStars.
In the coming weeks, key signals such as starting pitcher announcements, injury updates, and recent head-to-head performance could sway this market. Weather conditions or lineup changes may also impact perceptions of the spread. As Aug 6, 2026 approaches, traders will react to any last-minute roster adjustments or momentum swings from preceding matches. Public betting trends on Kalshi can amplify these shifts, especially with volume at $8,124 indicating strong interest.